|| SHANIWAR SAMWAD || 15-10-2022

 Inflation figures for the month of sep2022 released along with IIP, PMI, and others. The expectation of another round of rate hikes is imminent in the next few months.

The world bank, IMF, and rating agencies have reduced the growth forecast for the present and next FY

The festival sales figures are also coming with at least a 15-20% increase to last year, the festival season is still going on. So the figures will be even higher than it and last year's. The overall balance sheet of our big corporates are in the best condition with debt level is least. Almost major companies have clean balance sheets and capacity utilization is around 70-75% of stalled capacity.

The recent praise of the IMF & World Bank for our reforms and digital economy. The pandemic has proven our intent and execution for different programs. The recent hike of rates by global central banks is only increasing the uncertainty, the fiscal expansion during the pandemic is creating problems and it will not be resolved soon.

Now, The US administration is accepting the recession be it mild or strong as per their assessment.

With this, geopolitics is playing its role.

The moves by the US and EU to curb Russia on all platforms in recent times, now they want to limit their income from crude oil and natural gas. But it will ruin their economy more than Russia or any other country.

The discount for crude is the best trade deal we did with Russia than other countries with whom we are purchasing crude. As it is on delivery basis.

The production-linked incentive has started showing its impact with Apple producing and exporting its product around the world along with other companies in the different sectors which are covered under the PLI scheme. Next in the PLI scheme is the Fab and display unit which will not only relieve us from the import of these items but will be earning for us by export.

The ecosystem for our industry for self-reliance is in making and will deliver us in immediate future.

The present fluid situation is presenting another opportunity to be explored and march ahead.

The situation will change and we will emerge stronger than past.

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